Confirming you are not from the U.S. or the Philippines

Mit der Abgabe dieser Erklärung erkläre und bestätige ich ausdrücklich, dass:
  • Ich kein Bürger oder Einwohner der USA bin
  • Ich bin nicht auf den Philippinen wohnhaft
  • Ich weder direkt noch indirekt mehr als 10 % der Anteile/Stimmrechte/Beteiligungen der in USA ansässigen Personen besitze und/oder keine US-Bürger oder in den USA ansässigen Personen auf andere Weise kontrolliere
  • Ich mich nicht im direkten oder indirekten Besitz von mehr als 10 % der Aktien/Stimmrechte/Beteiligungen und/oder unter der Kontrolle eines US-Bürgers bzw. einer anderweitig in den USA ansässigen Person befinde.
  • Ich nicht mit US-Bürgern oder Personen mit Wohnsitz in den USA im Sinne von Abschnitt 1504 (a) des FATCA in Verbindung stehe bin
  • Ich bin mir meiner Haftung für die Abgabe einer falschen Erklärung bewusst.
Für die Zwecke dieser Erklärung werden alle von den USA abhängigen Länder und Territorien mit dem Hauptterritorium der USA gleichgesetzt. Ich verpflichte mich, Octa Markets Incorporated sowie seine Direktoren und leitenden Angestellten gegen alle Ansprüche zu verteidigen und schadlos zu halten, die sich aus einer Verletzung meiner vorliegenden Erklärung ergeben oder damit zusammenhängen.
Wir legen großen Wert auf Ihre Privatsphäre und die Sicherheit Ihrer persönlichen Daten. Wir erfassen Ihre E-Mail-Adresse nur, um Ihnen Sonderangebote und wichtige Informationen über unsere Produkte und Dienstleistungen zukommen zu lassen. Indem Sie Ihre E-Mail-Adresse angeben, erklären Sie sich damit einverstanden, solche E-Mails von uns zu erhalten. Wenn Sie den Newsletter abbestellen möchten oder Fragen bzw. Bedenken haben, wenden Sie sich bitte an unseren Kundensupport.
Octa trading broker
Konto eröffnen
Back

USD/JPY firms as trade tensions and Fed caution weigh on Dollar

  • USD/JPY extends decline, trading near the lower end of the range as safe-haven flows support the Yen ahead of the Fed decision.
  • Trade frictions between the US and Japan, along with softening US growth data and geopolitical risks, dampen risk sentiment.
  • Technical signals turn bearish with the pair capped below key moving averages, and momentum indicators suggesting further downside.

USD/JPY is trading weaker on Tuesday, hovering in the 142.00 area as safe-haven demand strengthens the Japanese Yen. Risk aversion has intensified as global investors respond to elevated geopolitical uncertainty, including tensions in the Middle East, renewed trade frictions, and shifting global central bank dynamics. Market participants are awaiting the outcome of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, with a particular focus on the tone of Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance.

In Washington, US President Donald Trump held a joint press conference with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, downplaying the need to renegotiate USMCA and instead focusing on broader trade priorities. Trump’s comments about China’s economic struggles and his administration’s active negotiations with 17 trading partners added to market unease. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that the US had formally rejected Japan’s request for tariff relief, maintaining the 10% and 14% levies on Japanese exports. Japan’s efforts to push for a comprehensive trade deal remain stalled, heightening uncertainty for bilateral relations.

US economic data continue to offer a mixed picture. The March trade deficit widened significantly, likely contributing to a downward revision in Q1 GDP figures. Although the April ISM services PMI rose to 51.6 from 50.8, internal components such as activity and employment disappointed. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model now forecasts Q2 growth at 1.1%, a sharp drop from earlier projections. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday, but the market will closely watch Powell’s press conference for clues on future rate path. Traders currently price in one rate cut by July and a second by year-end.

Japanese data remain sparse, but the country’s position in US trade discussions is under scrutiny. With no breakthrough in tariff talks, Japanese exporters face headwinds, especially in autos and metals. Additionally, a scheduled visit by US agricultural officials to Tokyo underscores the interconnected nature of trade diplomacy, as Washington seeks concessions across sectors.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is flashing bearish signals. The pair is currently trading near the bottom of its daily range (142.35 – 144.27), down −0.88% on the session. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.334 remains neutral, while the MACD gives a mild buy signal, creating short-term noise. However, the Awesome Oscillator at −1.680 is flat, and the ADX (14) at 28.468 confirms rising selling pressure.

Key moving averages further reinforce the bearish outlook. The 20-day SMA at 143.20, 100-day at 150.73, and 200-day at 149.67 all point lower. Shorter-term trend lines, including the 10-day EMA at 143.41 and SMA at 143.33, now act as overhead resistance. A sustained move below 142.00 could open the door to further losses, while only a break above 144.00 would ease current downside momentum.

With geopolitical tensions, mixed US macro data, and unresolved US-Japan trade disputes weighing on sentiment, USD/JPY remains vulnerable in the near term. The Fed’s communication on Wednesday will be a key driver for whether this downtrend deepens or stabilizes.

Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Euro drifts near 162.00 as bearish pressure starts to build

The EUR/JPY pair weakened slightly on Tuesday, hovering around the 162.00 mark after the European session, with price action holding mid-range between intraday highs and lows.
Mehr darüber lesen Previous

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Aussie softens near 1.0800 as bearish tone gains traction

The AUD/NZD pair edged lower on Tuesday, trading near the 1.0800 zone after a steady decline through the European session. Price action remained confined within the day’s range, but the downside drift highlights the underlying bearish tone as the pair approaches the Asian session.
Mehr darüber lesen Next